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Tyler Colvin NL Rookie of the Year?

By bullpenbrian at 07.25.2010 11 comments.

Put Tyler Colvin in the race for the NL Rookie of the Year Award.

*He leads all rookies in home runs with 15.
*Leads Cubs with six game-winning RBI.
*Has nine home runs & 20 RBI since June 15.
*Is 7-for-25 in his last six games batting leadoff,
including 3 home runs & 4 RBI.
*Has played all three outfield positions well.
*And has 64 games remaining this season.

Braves outfielder, Jason Heyward (.266, 11 HR & 48 RBI),
and Washington pitcher, Steven Strasburgh (5-2. 2.32 ERA),
are sure to remain the front runners in the National league.
But Colvin, (.264, 15 HR, 36 RBI), has enough time to win
the numbers game, given Lou continues to start the 25-year-old.

Colvin, however, also faces tough competition from
Cincinnati starter Mike Leake (7-1, 3.45 ERA) and
Mets outfielder Ike Davis, (.249, 14 HR, 46 RBI).

As noted by reader Joe Robino…Florida’s Gaby Sanchez is also in the running. He leads NL rookies in hits, doubles, multi-hit games & extra-base hits.

And another commenter, Route53, reminded me of the Giants’s Buster Posey. Hot start in first 50-games, but can he keep it up?

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  1. route53 says:

    You’re leaving out Buster Posey hitting .371 with 8 HRs and 33 RBIs in just 178 at bats vs. Heyward’s .276 11 HR and 48 RBIs in 294 at bats (Posey is hitting .469/.511OB/.815SLG/1.33OPS in July and likely to be POM) and Jaime Garcia out of this conversation for some reason (9-4, 2.21 ERA, 90 Ks, 1.27 WHIP)

    Right now they are all candidates. Will come down to last two months

    • bullpenbrian says:

      Yep, I’m okay with adding Posey to the race, too.
      He’s come out of the gate on fire, but I still think he’s a long shot having played less than 50-games.
      But that doesn’t mean he can’t win it though!
      Two months, however, is a long time, long enough for ROY candidates to slump, get injured or both.
      But if Posey stays hot, he could very well be the last man standing in the end.

      Thanks for noting Jamie Garcia, as well.
      I saw him pitch during Spring Training on ESPN…was really impressed with his outing.
      Reminds me of a young Noah Lowry with the Giants.
      No doubt he’s over-shadowed in St. Louis by Wainright & Carpenter.

  2. Joe Rubino says:

    It’s a big mistake to leave the Marlins’ Gaby Sanchez out of this discussion. He is either 1st or 2nd in just about every rookie offensive category. Bullpen Brian mistakenly listed Ike Davis above as hitting .326. That’s his on-base %, he’s actually hitting in the .240′s. Gaby is hitting .304 with 107 hits, 24 doubles, 11 HR’s, and 45 RBI. He is also playing an excellent 1b, a new position to him.

    • bullpenbrian says:

      Indeed, you’re right Joe!
      Mr. Sanchez is certainly deserving of consideration for ROY.
      He’s leading all rookies in hits (107), doubles (24), total bases (167)
      multi-hit games (31) & extra-base hits (37).

      Thank you for pointing out the Ike Davis error as well.
      I went ahead and updated his average in the post.
      My bad.

      Look forward to hearing from you again!

  3. Baseball001 says:

    I would go with Garcia in my opinion. Like people have said, he is overshadowed. But most rookies when they are overshadowed still don’t produce like Jaime Garcia is. If I’m not mistaken he is 4th in the NL in ERA, yes 4th! AND… all but I think two of his starts have been quality starts. Now that is just dirty. He should have about 13 wins right now, if not more, but he only has 9 due to lack of offense some nights by the Cardinals. Watch out for them in the playoffs with that three headed monster of a rotation!

    • bullpenbrian says:

      Garcia isn’t on everyone’ s radar, yet, but he’s definitely in the hunt!
      The lefty’s line thus far: (9-4) 2.33 ERA…indeed, the ERA being the 4th best in the NL.
      Of his 20 starts 15 have been quality outings.
      He’s averaging 5.2 IP per start, 7.2 K’s per 9-innings and 4.7 runs of support from the offense.
      At home his ERA is a sparkling 1.20.
      The Cards are 11-9 in games Garcia starts.
      He’s also on the brink of becoming the first rookie pitcher to 10-wins this season.
      Thanks for checking out the post and sharing your support!

  4. route53 says:

    Thanks for adding Posey. As of today I’d say the favorite is:

    1. Heyward followed by…in order..
    2. Garcia
    3. Posey
    4. Strasburg
    5. Sanchez
    HM: Colvin (like Heyward needs to boost avg.), Castro (needs to steal more), Leake (slumping), Davis (low average)

    Heyward is still hitting strong but his average needs to get to .270 to cement it. He also plays a great RF. Garcia is still the best given Strasburg being out for a few weeks. FYI, Posey only has 30 less ABs than Colvin batting 90 pts. higher. Just watched Castro and Colvin last night. Castro given more seasoning will be the better of the two in my opinion. Also if we are talking impact, the Giants have moved from 4th to 2nd and into contention since Posey was moved into the starting lineup. Just like when Soto won, he has made the whole team better (29-7 since he entered the lineup), and plays the hardest position in baseball (throwing out 43% of runners – Soto threw out 40% his ROY year)

    • bullpenbrian says:

      Awesome. Terrific research!
      Strong case for Posey, too.
      The guy’s legit, and has put himself into a real position to win this award.
      Can’t wait to see how the final six weeks unfold!

  5. thescoundrel says:

    I think Castro is as deserving of mention as Colvin. Still I am not sure I like the idea of either winning Rookie of the year. Too much pressure for their sophomore year. When you don’t win an award- it creates more reason to try harder and prove you were worthy. JMO though.

  6. Andy says:

    Jaime Garcia! He has a 2.33 ERA in 146.1 innings, a .667 winning percentage, and will have about 175 IP before the season is over. And he has an 89 pitch complete game shutout this season. The defense has been really terrible behind him also. He has a loss this season in a game that he did not give up a run. A can see the case for Posey, but he hasn’t played the full season. Tyler Colvin is only batting in the .250s. Jason Heyward will has been on the DL but he will still play about 135 games this year. He has a .272 ba, 15 hr, and 58 RBI line.That is good, but not as impressive as a 2.33 ERA this point in the season. Heyward also has more hype than the others.
    My list is:
    1) Garcia
    2) Heyward
    3) Posey

    • bullpenbrian says:

      No question Garcia is a ROY candidate.
      And you’ve made a strong case for him, too!
      But I think he’s still along shot.

      The Cards have smartly limited Garcia’s workload due to his reconstructive elbow surgery last year.
      And that’s limited his innings a bit…he’s only pitched past the seventh once.
      I think pitching fewer than 200 innings and not being a everyday player will cost him first place votes.
      Doesn’t mean I’m personally discrediting Garcia, just saying how I think the writers will respond.

      To win the hardware, I believe Jamie needs to raise his game one more notch, to that of a stopper.
      Now, that’s a tall order for a rookie in his first division race!
      But the Cards have been reeling recently, losing ground to the first place Reds while slumping against sub-.500 clubs.
      If Garcia becomes a stopper, and sparks the club through a brilliant September run, he’ll be game for the award.
      Otherwise, his current pace, although terrific, will fall short of the votes needed…rightly or wrongly.

      Thanks for checking out the article, and responding.
      Much appreciated!

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