The Mets, Twins, Dodgers & Cardinals are reportedly
still in the mix to trade for Ted Lilly.
Here’s a peek how Lilly would look in each roation.
–Ted Lilly (3-8) – 3.69 ERA
New York Mets
Mike Pelfrey (10-5) – 4.00 ERA
Johan Santana (8-5) – 3.11 ERA
Jonathan Niese (7-4) – 3.43 ERA
H. Takahasshi (7-5) – 4.47 ERA
R.A. Dickey (6-4) – 2.55 ERA
Carl Pavano (13-6) – 3.21 ERA
Fran. Liriano (9-7) – 3.35 ERA
Kevin Slowey (9-5) – 4.76 ERA
Scott Baker (8-9) – 5.00 ERA
Nick Blackburn (7-7) – 6.66 ERA
Cubs are a wash meaning it’s time to take pleasure in the Cardinals’ struggles!
St. Louis was swept 3-0 at Colorado this week…and in historical fashion, too.
Tuesday night the Cards suffered the worst ninth-inning collapse in modern baseball history–the Rockies scoring nine-times to erase a six-run deficit en route to an amazing 12-9 victory.
Wednesday night wasn’t any easier. The Cards leading 5-0 before letting the Rocks mount another late-inning rally.
This time Dexter Fowler’s three-run shot in the eight tied the game 7-all before Chris Iannetta’s dramatic home run in the ninth gave the Rockies an 8-7 win.
No luck for the birds on Thursday, either. Ubaldo Jimenez–arguably the best pitcher in the NL–shut St. Louis down over eight innings allowing a single run.
Meanwhile, the Rockies score four-runs off ace-hurler Chris Carpenter, win 4-2, sweep the series, and send the Redbirds to Houston wondering just how good they really are at (45-40).
At the very least, still better than our Cubs!
Don’t look now, but the Cardinals are reeling. They’ve dropped four straight, losing Sunday against Milwaukee, then were swept right out of Chavez Ravine 3-0 by the Dodgers. The skid puts St. Louis 1.5 games back of Cincinnati, who’s also come back to earth in the last week.
Meanwhile, our Cubs, 7.5 games out, have lost 7 of 10 as part of its 3-6 road trip through the division’s cellar, which, was a measuring-stick trip for Chicago. Beat the bottom feeders and you’re back in the hunt. Lose, as they did, and well, just be thankful the Reds and Cards haven’t shut the door completely.
Despite the recent setbacks, however, Cincinnati and St. Louis are roughly on pace to win 90 games….the Cubs just 75. This means Chicago must conquer the unlikely task of going 63-39 in the season’s final 102 games to compete. That’s a .617 winning percentage for a club currently playing below .500, and mighty rough water to navigate through the final 3 1/2 months.
The stress signal has gone out…is it time to abandon ship?
The reality of the Cubs’ season is pictured above…these guys are sinking, not swimming.
Tuesday’s loss against Florida drops Chicago a season-low six-games below .500…and worse, 6.5 games behind St. Louis.
If the Cubs–somehow– manage .500 ball the rest of the way, they’ll finish with 78 wins…obviously, nowhere near what it takes to win the division, let alone, the Wild Card.
The Cardinals, meanwhile, can finish the campaign playing .500 ball and still reach 85 wins. But realistically, it’s more likely the Cards push triple digits in the win column come September.
It’s a pretty clear picture…our Cubbies are swimming with the fishes…and that’s an ugly truth for mid-May.
Four weeks in and the NL Central appears to be under wraps.
The Cardinals…keepers of the best record in the NL…and on pace to win more than 100 games…will win the NL Central crown.
At least, that’s according to AccuScore, which calculates the precise probability teams have of winning each game, winning their division, making the playoffs, advancing in the playoffs and winning the World Series.
St. Louis grades out at a 97.7% chance of winning the division, which indeed appears accurate given the Cards avoid major injuries to Pujols, Holliday or Carpenter.
The Cubs are no longer the class of the NL Central–St. Louis is.
Dan Shoptaw blogs Redsbirds baseball at C70 At The Bat and is also the founder of the BBA, or Baseball Bloggers Alliance.
He agreed to answer a few questions about the outlook for the 2010 Cardinals–the team Chicago must top to regain the Central crown.
Jim Edmonds wants a swan song with St. Louis, but I wouldn’t mind seeing him as a Cub again.
Chicago needs a fourth outfielder, that role player with a little defense and just enough offense.
Edmonds has both, and more importantly, he’s willing to play for the league minimum, which certainly won’t be the case with a Jermaine Dye or Xavier Nady, or even Reed Johnson.
As a Cubs fan it’s easy to dislike Albert Pujols, but you have to respect the guy, even as a rival Cardinal.
Take a look at Pujols’ 162-game averages for his career and tell me there’s not a better player in the game:
.334/.427/.628 with 42 home runs, 129 RBIs, 94 walks, 124 runs scored, a 1.055 OPS and 374 total bases.
That from a guy who was taken in the 13th round of the 1999 draft…and just another reason I love the game of baseball.
Ted Keith of Sports Illustrated wrote a terrific article on Albert Pujols’ third MVP Award. He sums up Pujols best with this line…
Cubs fans won’t admit it, but we would all miss Tony La Russa had he left St. Louis for greener pastures.
Every good rivalry needs a dislikeable leader on the other side, and La Russa fits the mold perfectly.
He comes off grumpy and opinionated, but most notably, he’s smart.
Yet, there’s no surprise La Russa decided to remain with the Cardinals for another year.
After spending 15 years managing in St. Louis, a terrific baseball town with Dave Duncan and Albert Pujols at his beck-and-call, why would La Russa want go elsewhere anyway?
It’ll be interesting to see how Holliday responds after his error cost the Cardinals a split in L.A.
St. Louis, remember, was suppose to be the team to beat because of Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright.
That’s now out the window with the Dodgers leading two-zip.
Series isn’t over, of course, but Holliday’s miscue most likely cost St. Louis its season.
By the way, how much does Mark DeRosa hate the Dodgers!